← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Sep 8, 11:05 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.38 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.38 | $3.80 | +6% | +3.80 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 72% | 1.38 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 28% | 3.95 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 3.08 | 3.75 | +21.9% | |
| New York Yankees win | 1.36 | 1.30 | -4.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | New York Yankees | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1560.22 | 1389.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.01 | 6.44 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.12 | 2.16 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.30 |