← Major League Baseball 2026 · Mon, Sep 7, 06:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +5% | +7.63 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 54% | 3.29 |
| Chicago Cubs win | 46% | 2.11 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs win | 1.99 | 2.06 | +3.5% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.65 | 1.79 | +8.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1577.47 | 1550.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.83 | -1.11 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 6.00 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 7.30 |