← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 23, 07:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Foster Griffin (ERA 3.18, WHIP 1.11) · home: Tomoyuki Sugano (ERA 4.7, WHIP 1.26)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colorado Rockies win in Colorado Rockies v Cleveland Guardians · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.40 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.40 | $13.99 | -3% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians win | 61% | 1.65 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 39% | 7.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians win | 1.50 | 1.60 | +6.3% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.29 | 2.40 | +4.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1386.84 | 1499.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.09 | 9.64 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 2.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |