← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 23, 06:35 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Yusei Kikuchi (ERA 5.81, WHIP 1.58) · home: Cal Quantrill (ERA 3.13, WHIP 1.15)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.66 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.66 | $6.60 | +4% | +6.60 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 61% | 1.66 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 39% | 18.75 |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.24 | 2.35 | +5.1% | |
| Texas Rangers win | 1.50 | 1.62 | +8.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1476.87 | 1432.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.63 | 14.18 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.60 |