← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 23, 12:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Tanner Bibee (ERA 4.01, WHIP 1.15) · home: Gabriel Hughes (ERA 6.69, WHIP 1.38)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians win in Colorado Rockies v Cleveland Guardians · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.74 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.74 | $7.40 | +4% | +7.40 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians win | 57% | 1.76 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 43% | 4.98 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians win | 1.65 | 1.59 | -3.5% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.05 | 2.45 | +19.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1388.42 | 1497.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.93 | 4.06 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.98 | 0.98 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 3.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.30 |