← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 22, 11:05 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Ryan Johnson (ERA 6.41, WHIP 1.54) · home: Cody Bradford (ERA 2.93, WHIP 1.43)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 41% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.24 | 2.34 | +4.7% | |
| Texas Rangers win | 1.52 | 1.60 | +4.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1481.23 | 1428.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.10 | 6.14 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.60 |