← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 15, 05:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Anthony Kay (ERA 3.96, WHIP 1.34) · home: Troy Melton (ERA 1.46, WHIP 0.9)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.74 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.74 | $7.40 | +3% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers win | 56% | 1.76 |
| Chicago White Sox win | 44% | 2.34 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 2.01 | 2.20 | +9.4% | |
| Detroit Tigers win | 1.73 | 1.70 | -1.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1523.04 | 1501.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.15 | 5.84 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 6.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.20 |