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Shamrock Rovers v Egnatia Rrogozhinë

← UEFA Europa League 2026 · Tue, Aug 4, 07:00 PM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win in Shamrock Rovers v Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Match result @ 4.10
Steam chaser$5.004.10$15.50——pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Shamrock Rovers win52%2.02
Draw26%3.82
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win22%5.00

across 14 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Over50%1.98
Under50%1.95

across 12 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Yes52%1.83
No48%2.10

across 11 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

How many corners?

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Under 9.555%1.70
Over 9.545%2.10

across 4 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed) · most-quoted line shown — 3 other lines captured

Price movement — Match result

OutcomeTrendFirstNowMove
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win4.503.73-17.2%
Draw3.673.40-7.4%
Shamrock Rovers win1.731.94+11.8%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueTallaght Stadium