← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Jul 25, 12:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jacob Lopez (ERA 6.64, WHIP 1.73) · home: Zebby Matthews (ERA 5.4, WHIP 1.34)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Twins win in Minnesota Twins v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 56% | 3.80 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 44% | 2.41 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.01 | 2.40 | +19.4% | |
| Minnesota Twins win | 1.67 | 1.61 | -3.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Minnesota Twins | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1469.99 | 1438.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.39 | 1.99 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 1.29 | 2.19 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 8.00 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |