← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Jul 22, 12:05 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Noah Schultz (ERA 5.6, WHIP 1.36) · home: Kumar Rocker (ERA 4.4, WHIP 1.37)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.85 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.85 | $8.50 | +2% | +8.50 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 52% | 1.93 |
| Chicago White Sox win | 48% | 2.11 |
across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.2% | |
| Texas Rangers win | 1.93 | 1.82 | -5.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Texas Rangers | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1492.04 | 1502.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.51 | 16.37 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 7.10 | 1.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.60 |