← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Jul 19, 08:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Andre Pallante (ERA 3.96, WHIP 1.26) · home: Eduardo Rodriguez (ERA 2.29, WHIP 1.17)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.87 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.87 | $8.70 | +3% | +8.70 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 53% | 1.87 |
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 47% | 2.14 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 2.09 | 2.01 | -4.3% | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 1.73 | 1.85 | +6.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Arizona Diamondbacks | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1510.77 | 1503.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.72 | 3.04 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.60 |