← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Jan 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Gimnastic win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jona · Ucam Murcia |
| 33' | ⚽ | Luismi · Gimnastic |
| 40' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
| 67' | ⚽ | Natalio Poquet · Ucam Murcia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Manolo Reina · Gimnastic |
| 71' | 🟥 | Ikechukwu Uche · Gimnastic |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daisuke Suzuki · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mossa · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.59 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 44.00 | 44.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| elo | 1421.94 |
| venue | Estadio de La Condomina |
| 1359.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.51 | -8.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |