← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Sep 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Manuel Lopez Amaya, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Gimnastic win | 22% | 4.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Federico Vega · Alcorcon |
| 68' | ⚽ | Federico Vega · Alcorcon |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Cordero · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 102.00 | 4424.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.60 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| corners for avg (last 5) |
| — |
| 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.65 |
| elo | 1490.51 | 1533.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.96 | 9.31 |
| eye test v1 | -1.43 | -0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 49.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.33 | 68.33 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |