← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Huesca win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Álvaro Peña · Alcorcon |
| 24' | 🟨 | Rulo Prieto · Huesca |
| 26' | ⚽ | Chimy Ávila · Huesca |
| 28' | 🟨 | Jon Errasti · Alcorcon |
| 38' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Huesca |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Alcorcon |
| 74' | 🟨 | Borja Dominguez · Alcorcon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Álvaro Peña · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luso · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 434.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1446.87 | 1562.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.46 | 24.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.85 |
| league points | 23.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 30.55 | 27.18 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |