← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Gimnastic win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Alcorcon |
| 13' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Alcorcon |
| 17' | 🟨 | David Rocha · Gimnastic |
| 24' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Alcorcon |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ikechukwu Uche · Gimnastic |
| 27' | ⚽ | Nono · Alcorcon |
| 30' | 🟨 | — · Gimnastic |
| 66' | 🟨 | — · Gimnastic |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Alcorcon |
| 84' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟨 | — · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟥 | — · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 14.00 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| 136.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.53 |
| elo | 1398.84 | 1492.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.66 | 40.77 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 68.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.93 |
| league points | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 8.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |