← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Feb 14, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| UD Logroñés win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| UD Logroñés −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Pablo Bobadilla · UD Logroñés |
| 20' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Gual · Alcorcon |
| 31' | 🟨 | Fidel Escobar · Alcorcon |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Alcorcon |
| 65' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente · UD Logroñés |
| 74' | 🟨 | Leonardo Ruiz · UD Logroñés |
| 84' | 🟨 | Hugo Fraile · Alcorcon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · UD Logroñés |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | UD Logroñés |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 105.00 | 1446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1408.47 | 1420.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.14 | -54.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| league points | 21.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.97 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 1.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.85 | -1.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |