← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Dec 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Sabadell win | 32% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Sabadell +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | José León · Alcorcon |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ivan Barbero · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pierre Cornud · Sabadell |
| 70' | 🟨 | Adri · Sabadell |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Hugo Fraile · Alcorcon |
| 84' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟨 | Néstor Querol · Sabadell |
| 90' | ⚽ | Juan Fernández · Sabadell |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 618.00 | 38.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1358.65 | 1434.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.68 | 31.50 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 2.94 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.58 | 28.25 |
| state index | -1.07 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |