← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Alcorcon win | 23% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Alcorcon +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Álex Baena · Girona |
| 27' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Alcorcon |
| 40' | ⚽ | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 55' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Alcorcon |
| 56' | 🟨 | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 59' | 🟨 | Borja Valle · Alcorcon |
| 78' | 🟨 | Pol Lozano · Girona |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 242.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1368.88 | 1602.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.52 | -19.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 29.33 | 26.22 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |