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National All-Stars 0–4 American All-Stars

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Jul 15, 12:00 AM UTC

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
American All-Stars win in National All-Stars v American All-Stars · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24
MLB dog variance$10.002.24$12.36+1%+12.36won

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
National All-Stars win56%6.29
American All-Stars win44%2.73

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

OutcomeTrendFirstNowMove
American All-Stars win2.191.15-47.3%
National All-Stars win1.606.29+294.3%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.

Scoring by inning

123456789Total
American All-Stars3000000104
National All-Stars0000000000