← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Jul 12, 08:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.50 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.50 | $5.02 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 35% | 2.89 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 2.73 | 2.81 | +2.9% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.50 | 1.46 | -2.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| elo | 1598.71 | 1506.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.24 | 15.11 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.90 |