← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Jul 11, 06:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Angels win in Minnesota Twins v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.52 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.52 | $15.22 | -0% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 65% | 1.57 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 35% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.52 | 2.93 | +16.2% | |
| Minnesota Twins win | 1.55 | 1.46 | -5.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Minnesota Twins | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| elo | 1464.84 | 1431.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.21 | -7.40 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.00 |