← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Ulm win | 26% | 3.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster +0.25 | 54% | 1.76 |
| Ulm +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Niko Koulis · Preußen Münster |
| 10' | ⚽ | Semir Telalović · Ulm |
| 37' | 🟨 | Charalambos Makridis · Preußen Münster |
| 54' | ⚽ | Yassine Bouchama · Preußen Münster |
| 63' | 🟨 | Daniel Kyerewaa · Preußen Münster |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luca Bazzoli · Preußen Münster |
| 75' | ⚽ | Daniel Kyerewaa · Preußen Münster |
| 85' | ⚽ | Lucas Röser · Ulm |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Dressel · Ulm |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ulm | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Donaustadion |
| coach days |
| 78.00 |
| 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1417.03 | 1472.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.80 | 29.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 8.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |