← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Oct 24, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New England Revolution win in Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution · Match result @ 5.75 | Portfolio | $3.03 | 5.75 | $14.39 | +10% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union win | 62% | 55% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 23% | 5.10 | value: +19% |
| New England Revolution win | 18% | 22% | 6.00 | value: +29% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution win | 4.85 | 5.70 | +17.5% | |
| Draw | 4.38 | 4.80 | +9.7% | |
| Philadelphia Union win | 1.56 | 1.48 | -5.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Subaru Park |