← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Apr 19, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Silva
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| FC Famalicão win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Sporting Clube de Braga −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Fran Navarro · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 50' | 🟨 | João Moutinho · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 65' | ⚽ | Rafa Soares · FC Famalicão |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Ba · FC Famalicão |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gustaf Lagerbielke · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 88' | 🟨 | Simon Elisor · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Justin De Haas · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Pinheiro · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| Ricardo Horta · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 292.00 | 504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1801.80 | 1637.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.96 | 24.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 52.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 8.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.63 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 25.34 |
| state index | 0.76 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.84 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.45 |