← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Mar 14, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Bessa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 73% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.50 |
| FC Arouca win | 10% | 9.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica +1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| FC Arouca +1.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Ivan Barbero · FC Arouca |
| 22' | 🟨 | Javi Sánchez · FC Arouca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ivan Barbero · FC Arouca |
| 48' | 🟨 | Hyun-ju Lee · FC Arouca |
| 50' | ⚽ | Richard Ríos · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 59' | 🟨 | Richard Ríos · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 59' | 🟨 | António Silva · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 77' | 🟨 | Pablo Gozálbez · FC Arouca |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ignacio de Arruabarrena · FC Arouca |
| 90' | 🟥 | Alfonso Trezza · FC Arouca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianluca Prestianni · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Arouca | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Arouca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anatoliy Trubin · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vangelis Pavlidis · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tomás Araújo · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 90' | 🟥 | Amar Dedic · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 90' | ⚽ | Franjo Ivanović · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| coach days |
| 529.00 |
| 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1513.20 | 1864.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.98 | -11.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 26.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.01 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 2.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 6.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.42 | 25.75 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.61 |