← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Feb 13, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Nobre
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| CD Santa Clara win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara +1 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica +1 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Vangelis Pavlidis · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 38' | ⚽ (og) | Paulo Victor · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vinícius Lopes · CD Santa Clara |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gonçalo Paciência · CD Santa Clara |
| 59' | 🟨 | Gonçalo Paciência · CD Santa Clara |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lucas Soares · CD Santa Clara |
| 78' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · CD Santa Clara |
| 84' | 🟨 | José Tavares · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lucas Soares · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟥 | Lucas Soares · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 5 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| 🟨 |
| Tomás Araújo · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianluca Prestianni · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 958.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| elo | 1490.75 | 1872.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.88 | -2.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 2.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 17.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 15.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 22.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 1.31 |
| solidity v1 | -0.03 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 10.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 8.40 |
| squad age | 29.82 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.83 | 1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 2.14 |