← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Dec 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 |
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica +0.25 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Sporting Clube de Braga +0.25 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.72 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ricardo Horta · Sporting Clube de Braga |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 180.00 | 180.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1778.86 | 1892.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.15 | 28.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 25.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.91 | 5.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.84 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 0.79 | 1.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 25.57 |
| state index | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.76 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.61 |