← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, Dec 15, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 66% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.18 |
| CD Santa Clara win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| CD Santa Clara −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Wendel Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 42' | ⚽ | Ricardo Horta · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luís Rocha · CD Santa Clara |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pedro Ferreira · CD Santa Clara |
| 88' | 🟨 | Pau Víctor · Sporting Clube de Braga |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| 4.20 |
| coach days | 167.00 | 898.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1783.28 | 1541.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.69 | 5.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 22.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 9.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | — |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.46 | 0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 29.75 |
| state index | 1.26 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.03 | 1.44 |