← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, Dec 1, 08:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 64% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| FC Arouca win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga +1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Arouca +1 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jose Fontán · FC Arouca |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jose Fontán · FC Arouca |
| 15' | 🟥 | Jose Fontán · FC Arouca |
| 25' | 🟨 | Alex Pinto · FC Arouca |
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Nico Mantl · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 31' | ⚽ | Ricardo Horta · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Alex Pinto · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 71' | ⚽ | Gustaf Lagerbielke · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tiago Esgaio · FC Arouca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 3 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Arouca | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Arouca |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 426.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1507.57 | 1758.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.06 | -12.68 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 24.00 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 1.34 |
| solidity v1 | -1.94 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 26.48 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.23 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.59 | 1.98 |