← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Sep 26, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.58 |
| Gil Vicente FC win | 9% | 11.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC −1.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio da Luz |
| 90' | 🟥 | Hevertton Santos · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 87.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1860.62 | 1559.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.12 | 41.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.64 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 26.05 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.20 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.47 |