← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Sep 12, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Pinheiro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.50 |
| CD Santa Clara win | 9% | 12.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara −1.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica −1.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Gabriel Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 38' | 🟥 | Paulo Victor · CD Santa Clara |
| 58' | 🟨 | Enzo Barrenechea · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 59' | ⚽ | Vangelis Pavlidis · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 90' | ⚽ | Vinícius Lopes · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio da Luz |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 73.00 | 804.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1892.16 | 1542.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.98 | -15.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 12.09 | 5.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.07 |
| solidity v1 | 0.47 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 28.63 |
| state index | 1.30 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 0.97 |