← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Aug 31, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Verissimo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 57% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga +0.75 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Rio Ave FC +0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jean-Baptiste Gorby · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Clayton · Rio Ave FC |
| 22' | ⚽ | Roger Fernandes · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 24' | ⚽ | Clayton · Rio Ave FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dario Špikić · Rio Ave FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 60' | 🟨 | Brandon Aguilera · Rio Ave FC |
| 81' | 🟨 | Cezary Miszta · Rio Ave FC |
| 88' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Sporting Clube de Braga |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube |
| 0.60 |
| coach days | 30.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1526.97 | 1766.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.47 | 14.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.87 | 1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 1.31 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 23.97 | 26.19 |
| state index | -0.01 | 1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.81 |