← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Aug 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Pereira
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.81 |
| CD Tondela win | 13% | 8.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga −1 | 54% | 1.90 |
| CD Tondela −1 | 46% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Vítor Carvalho · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 37' | ⚽ | Pau Víctor · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 70' | 🟨 | Roger Fernandes · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 76' | 🟨 | João Afonso · CD Tondela |
| 82' | 🟨 | Brayan Medina · CD Tondela |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Ricardo Horta · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yefrei Rodriguez · CD Tondela |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | CD Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 40.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1748.96 | 1424.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.11 | -11.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.89 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | — |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | — |