← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, May 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 45% | 52% | 2.10 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.25 | fair |
| Boulogne win | 26% | 20% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 330.00 | 695.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1477.88 | 1446.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.28 | -10.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |