← Segunda División 2015-16 · Wed, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 42% | 53% | 2.30 | value: +21% |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.29 | fair |
| CA Osasuna win | 28% | 19% | 3.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 4315.00 | 390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1516.37 | 1485.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.23 | 24.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 64.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.56 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |