← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llagostera win | 38% | 36% | 2.54 | fair |
| Gimnastic win | 32% | 34% | 3.02 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.33 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Llagostera | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 4283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1423.22 | 1485.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 32.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |