← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 64% | 65% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 4.47 | fair |
| Alcorcon win | 14% | 12% | 6.83 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 174.00 | 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1643.38 | 1496.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.38 | 21.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 81.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.98 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |