← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sun, Jun 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 49% | 51% | 1.99 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.48 | fair |
| Zaragoza win | 23% | 22% | 4.25 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 127.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1506.42 | 1472.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.45 | 1.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 56.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |