← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid B win | 52% | 61% | 1.86 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 26% | 20% | 3.81 | fair |
| Sabadell win | 22% | 19% | 4.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Madrid B | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1065.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1477.12 | 1465.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.66 | 32.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.45 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |