← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sun, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 54% | 56% | 1.82 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.63 | fair |
| Mirandes win | 20% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 113.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1504.21 | 1445.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.96 | -4.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| league points | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |