← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 50% | 44% | 1.95 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.44 | fair |
| Sabadell win | 22% | 27% | 4.48 | value: +22% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1038.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1461.95 | 1441.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.79 | 11.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| league points | 48.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |