← Segunda División 2012-13 · Fri, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 44% | 36% | 2.22 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 31% | 3.12 | fair |
| Sabadell win | 25% | 33% | 3.93 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 665.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1434.96 | 1434.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.89 | -28.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |