← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 48% | 46% | 2.02 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.46 | fair |
| Sabadell win | 23% | 27% | 4.16 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1018.00 | 653.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1412.86 | 1445.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.58 | -54.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 32.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| state index | -0.78 | -1.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |