← Segunda División 2011-12 · Sat, Jun 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 53% | 53% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.75 | fair |
| Sabadell win | 21% | 22% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1476.26 | 1422.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.31 | -11.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 55.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |