← Segunda División 2011-12 · Wed, May 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 70% | 49% | 1.36 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 27% | 5.00 | value: +36% |
| Gimnastic win | 11% | 23% | 10.00 | value: +135% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2852.00 | 388.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1403.88 | 1648.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.01 | -15.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| league points | 31.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 2.10 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |