← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 72% | 46% | 1.29 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 31% | 5.25 | value: +62% |
| Albacete win | 11% | 23% | 9.00 | value: +107% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2492.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1457.04 | 1329.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.85 | -42.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 45.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.72 |
| state index | -0.15 | -1.79 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |