← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 40% | 44% | 2.25 | fair |
| Alcorcon win | 32% | 28% | 2.88 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Real Betis Balompié |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1062.00 | 332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1515.36 | 1623.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.33 | -3.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 57.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.98 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |