← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 55% | 57% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.60 | fair |
| Gimnastic win | 19% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 415.00 | 2484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1538.28 | 1463.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.54 | 30.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 60.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.15 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |