← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 43% | 41% | 2.20 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.10 | fair |
| Alcorcon win | 27% | 30% | 3.50 | value: +5% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1013.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1473.08 | 1490.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.56 | 13.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 41.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |