← Segunda División 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 56% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Gimnastic win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hercules | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1736.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1569.48 | 1492.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.63 | 20.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 60.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.35 |
| state index | 0.95 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |